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05:56 pm: Lib Dem landslide
There is an opinion poll in today's NME, of NME readers. It has the figures :

Lib Dems - 37%

Labour - 26%

Tories - 17%

Other - 9%

Undecided - 13%

If I plug these numbers into the BBC's handy thingy, we discover that this would result in a Liberal Democrat majority of 194 (with Labour having 196 seats, and the Tories none).

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Comments

From:marnanel
Date:April 20th, 2005 10:03 am (UTC)
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Most of the communities I see seem to have similar results. So why aren't the LDs winning more elections? Is it just that there are lots of Labour and Tory people who do nothing I come in contact with?
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From:abigailb
Date:April 20th, 2005 10:28 am (UTC)
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Basically, yes.
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From:nvivison
Date:April 20th, 2005 12:43 pm (UTC)
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There's too many places like Carlisle (where I'm originally from), where a Lib Dem vote is seen as a wasted vote.

However, in Carlisle's case at least, I suspect that if everyone who wanted to vote Lib Dem acutally did then the Conservatives will win the seat (Too many loyal voters in the farming community).
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From:merlina
Date:April 20th, 2005 10:37 am (UTC)
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But the voting figures don't translate easily into seats won. It's all about swing in key marginals. A cynic would say that's why the Libs are so keen on PR... and why the other parties oppose it.

In other news.... I went to get corset on Monday (following the visit on Friday etc etc) as arranged. She'd forgotten it. Said she'd drop it off to me at home monday evening/tues morning. Still not here. And now she's gone to Whitby. grrrr
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From:abigailb
Date:April 20th, 2005 10:47 am (UTC)
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I think those seats are based on comparing the %ages with the 2001 figures, and assuming uniform swing, which is the method most opinion polls use.

Aye, she so needs a manager....

Btw, in reply to your lexgoff post - I am probably going.
From:ex_sonjaaa
Date:April 20th, 2005 01:48 pm (UTC)
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Which of the British political parties is the strongest one in the left, i.e. social democrat or democratic socialist?
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From:abigailb
Date:April 20th, 2005 02:12 pm (UTC)
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The Lib Dems, although they've really inherited that position by default after Labour lurched to the right under Blair.
From:ex_sonjaaa
Date:April 20th, 2005 02:21 pm (UTC)
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Cool, then it's good to see them in the lead!
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From:abigailb
Date:April 20th, 2005 02:30 pm (UTC)
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I wish! This is just a poll of readers of one music magazine, which amused me.
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From:bobbieflathead
Date:April 21st, 2005 06:18 am (UTC)
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Are you really sure that the lib dems are more to the left than labour? They're both a bunch of reactionary stooglets if you ask me.

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From:nvivison
Date:April 21st, 2005 10:25 am (UTC)
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the Lib Dems are more liberal, but still appear to be fairly right wing. It's just that they're less so than Labour or the Conservatives.
From:(Anonymous)
Date:May 6th, 2010 11:38 am (UTC)

hmm

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their winning a fb poll 42 % also http://www.theghanaianjournal.com/2010/05/05/world-votes-lib-dem-landslide/
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